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This week DTN's View From the Cab farmers take on topics like use of biologicals and taking advantage of carbon credits, while sizing up harvest...
There is a ridge spread across much of North America with a weakness in the South-Central U.S. Another trough is moving through the Canadian Prairies. That trough will move down into the middle of the U.S. over the next few days and become cutoff in the Midwest this weekend.
In the 6-10 day period, the ridge builds back up across the West, which will then spread through most of the continent again next week. Another trough will form off the West Coast by the end of next week.
The U.S. and European models are in fair agreement. I will use a blend, but favor the European.
For the outlook period, temperatures on Tuesday will be near to above normal for most of the country. Temperatures will be rising east of the Rockies while some cooler temperatures will be possible on the West Coast. Showers will be leaving the East by the middle of next week. The trough forming off in the West will send some pieces of energy through the West and Corn Belt with isolated showers later next week and weekend.
HIGH WED...123 AT DEATH VALLEY, CA
LOW WED...30 AT PETER SINKS, UT
24 HOUR PRECIPITATION ENDING AT 7PM CT WEDNESDAY...WILKES BARRE, PA 0.94 INCHES
There is a ridge spread across much of North America with a weakness in the South-Central U.S. Another trough is moving through the Canadian Prairies. That trough will move down into the middle of the U.S. over the next few days and become cutoff in the Midwest this weekend. At the same time, the ridge builds back up across the West, which will then spread through most of the continent again next week. Another trough will form off the West Coast by the end of next week.
The U.S. and European models are in fair agreement. I will use a blend, but favor the European.
For the outlook period, temperatures on Tuesday will be near to above normal for most of the country. Temperatures will be rising east of the Rockies while some cooler temperatures will be possible on the West Coast. Showers will be leaving the East by the middle of next week. The trough forming off in the West will send some pieces of energy through the West and Corn Belt with isolated showers later next week and weekend.
NORTHERN PLAINS (WHEAT/LIVESTOCK/CORN/SOYBEANS): A front will move through Thursday and Friday and produce a few bands of showers, but most areas should stay dry. South Dakota looks like it could be the winner out of the event. Corn and soybeans that are still filling could find some use out of any showers.
Heat will occur before the front, which will be stressful, while some cooler air filters in behind it for a couple of days. Cooler temperatures do not last long as readings will rise back above normal next week.
CENTRAL/SOUTHERN PLAINS (CORN/SOYBEANS/WHEAT/LIVESTOCK): Texas has seen some drought reduction recently, but not across the west where drought has been a struggle all season long. A front will move through this weekend but any showers will come in narrow lines and most areas will get missed. Hot temperatures out ahead of the front will cause stress to any corn or soybeans still looking to fill while soils remain too dry for many wheat planters to get an early start. Cooler temperatures move in behind the front, but will not last long as temperatures go back above normal next week.
MIDWEST (CORN/SOYBEANS): A front will slowly move through Friday through the weekend and into next week. A similar situation to the previous front will be possible with limited showers in the west and more consistent ones in the east.
This offers a mixed-bag of conditions for the next 10 days. Temperatures ahead of the front are rising well above normal but will fall dramatically behind it.
The cooler air does not last that long with temperatures rising above normal next week.
DELTA (SOYBEANS/COTTON): Rains will return Friday and continue through the weekend as the next front pulls more moisture northward. Conditions will be tougher for maturing crops and harvest but those looking for some more finishing rains will find some decent conditions. Conditions become much drier next week with rising temperatures.
BRAZIL (CORN/WHEAT): A stalled front in the region early this week and another coming through later in the week will continue to bring scattered showers to southern areas. While soil moisture continues to be good for early corn plantings and establishment, as well as prepping soils for soybean planting as well, colder temperatures will move into southern areas this weekend, which would be unfavorable. Maturing wheat could also stand some warmer and drier weather, but conditions are not cooperative right now.
ARGENTINA (WHEAT): A cold front moving through Thursday will bring in another round of cold air, producing some frosts through the weekend. Limited rainfall and cold temperatures have been detrimental for wheat development so far this season. More developed wheat would be at risk for damage while corn and soybean planting may be further delayed this spring.
CANADIAN PRAIRIES (LIVESTOCK/WHEAT/CANOLA): A cold front coming through Thursday is bringing some limited showers and breezy conditions as well as some colder temperatures. Frosts are not expected but will relieve any late-planted crops still filling and reduce the dry-down of mature crops.
EUROPE (WHEAT/CORN): A system over the UK continues to spread showers eastward through most areas of the continent, finally moving east next week. Another system will move into western areas early next week with another slow-moving system that should bring more widespread rains. Any showers will be welcome to ease the incredible drought from this year and to prep soils for winter wheat and grains planting.
BLACK SEA (CORN/SUNFLOWERS/WINTER WHEAT): Cooler temperatures remain in the region through most of the next week, reducing stress for corn and sunflowers.
Soil moisture in the region is limited in many of the wheat areas which will need more before winter wheat planting commences. The system that pinwheels through Europe this week will eventually find its way into Ukraine and western Russia by the weekend. The slow-moving nature should bring scattered showers to many areas in need.
AUSTRALIA (WINTER WHEAT/CANOLA): Good mixes of sun and rains have kept conditions for winter wheat and canola quite favorable as more of both crops approach or enter reproductive stages of growth. Cooler temperatures over the next several days are perhaps a little unfavorable, but no frosts or freezes are forecast in the main agricultural areas.
Midwest (corn, soybeans and winter wheat)
West: Mostly dry. Temperatures above normal.
East: Mostly dry. Temperatures above normal.
West: Mostly dry Thursday. Scattered showers Friday-Sunday. Isolated showers Monday. Temperatures above normal through Friday, near to above normal Saturday, near to below normal Sunday-Monday.
East: Mostly dry through Friday. Scattered showers Saturday-Monday.
Temperatures near to above normal through Sunday, near to below normal Monday.
6- to 10-day outlook: Isolated showers Tuesday. Mostly dry Wednesday. Isolated showers Thursday-Saturday. Temperatures near to below normal Tuesday, near to above normal Wednesday, above normal Thursday-Saturday.
Central and Southern Plains (winter wheat/corn/livestock)
Summary: Mostly dry. Temperatures above normal.
Forecast: Mostly dry Thursday. Scattered showers Friday-Monday. Temperatures near to above normal through Friday, near to below normal Saturday-Monday.
6- to 10-day outlook: Mostly dry Tuesday. Isolated showers Wednesday-Saturday.
Temperatures near to above normal Tuesday, above normal Wednesday-Saturday.
Mississippi Delta (winter wheat/soybeans/cotton)
Summary: Isolated showers. Temperatures near to above normal.
Forecast: Mostly dry Thursday. Scattered showers Friday-Sunday. Mostly dry Monday. Temperatures near to above normal through Sunday, near to below normal Monday.
6- to 10-day outlook: Mostly dry Tuesday-Saturday. Temperatures near to below normal Tuesday-Wednesday, near to above normal Thursday-Saturday.
Rio Grande do Sul and Parana...
Summary: Scattered showers. Temperatures near to above normal.
Forecast: Mostly dry Thursday. Scattered showers Friday-Monday. Temperatures above normal Thursday-Friday, near to below normal Saturday-Monday.
Mato Grosso, MGDS and southern Goias...
Summary: Mostly dry. Temperatures near to above normal.
Forecast: Mostly dry through Monday. Temperatures near to above normal through Monday.
Darren Miller can be reached at Darren.Miller@dtn.com
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